Monday, January 11, 2021

toa betting advice

I write often about betting here on TOA, but I rarely offer betting advice. This is why my post back in March was quite extraordinary - I advised readers to bet Washington at +1000 to win the NFC East (you can thank me now).

The reason I don't offer regular betting advice is simple - I'm rarely correct. This doesn't preclude me from occasionally picking a winner (see above) but when you see my reasoning, you see the problem - I said that by hiring Ron Rivera, they were restoring common sense leadership to the locker room. This was true, but the more important factors were Dak Prescott's injury, or Evan Engram's hands, or Nate Sudfeld failing to fake an injury last Sunday night. The line between skill and luck is a fine distinction, but it becomes a little clearer if you make a habit of articulating your reasoning alongside any prediction.